China’s Potential Lessons from Ukraine for Conflict Over Taiwan,” The Washington Quarterly Vol. 46, No. 3 (Fall 2023)

Two Paths: Why States Join or Avoid China’s Belt and Road Initiative,” Global Studies Quarterly, Vol. 3, No. 3 (July 2023) (with Eleanor Atkins, Raymond Wang, Nicholas Ackert and Sihao Huang)

The Dynamics of an Entangled Security Dilemma: China’s Changing Nuclear Posture,” International Security Vol. 47, No. 4 (Spring 2023) (with Henrik Stålhane Hiim and Magnus Langset Trøan)

Managing United States–China university relations and risks,” Science 380 (6642), 246-248 (with Richard Lester, Lily Tsai, Suzanne Berger, Peter Fisher, David Goldston, Yasheng Huang, and Daniela Rus)

How Much Risk Should the United States Run in the South China Sea?,” International Security Vol. 47, No. 2 (Fall 2022) (with Charles L. Glaser)

China’s Military Strategy for a ‘New Era’: Some Change, More Continuity, and Tantalizing Hints,” Journal of Strategic Studies, earlyview (with Joel Wuthnow)

China Engages the Arctic: A Great Power in a Regime Complex,” Asian Security Vol. 18, No. 2 (2022) (with Kathryn Lavelle and Liselotte Odgaard)

Stormy Seas: The South China Sea in US-China Relations,” in Avery Goldstein and Jacques de Lisle, eds., After Engagement: Dilemmas in U.S.-China Security Relations (Washington, DC: Brookings, 2021) (with Kacie Miura)

A ‘China in the World’ Paradigm for Scholarship,” Studies in Comparative International Development Vol. 55, No. 1 (March 2021) (with Melanie Manion and Yuhua Wang)

China’s “World-Class” Military Ambitions: Origins and Implications,” The Washington Quarterly Vol. 42, No. 4 (Spring 2020)

Stability in a Secondary Strategic Direction: China and the Border Dispute with India After 1962,” in Kanti Bajpai, Selina Ho and Manjari Chatterjee Miller, eds., Routledge Handbook of China-India Relations (New York: Routledge, 2020)

Dangerous Confidence: Chinese Views of Nuclear Escalation,” International Security Vol. 44, No. 2 (Fall 2019) (with Fiona S. Cunningham)

Shifts in Warfare and Party Unity: Explaining Changes in China’s Military Strategy,” International Security Vol. 42, No. 3 (Winter 2017/2018)

Threading the Needle: The South China Sea Disputes and U.S.-China Relations,” in Robert Ross and Øystein Tsunjo, eds., Strategic Adjustment and the Rise of China: Power and Politics in East Asia (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2017)

Qualitative Investigation of Theoretical Models: The Value of Process Tracing,” Journal of Theoretical Politics (2017) Vol. 29, No. 3 (with Peter Lorentzen and Jack Paine)

Explaining China’s Escalation over the Senkaku (Diaoyu) Islands,” Global Summitry Vol. 2, No. 1 (2016)

China’s Changing Approach to Military Strategy: The Science of Military Strategy from 2001 to 2013,” in Joe McReynolds, ed., China’s Evolving Military Strategy (Washington, DC: Brookings Press, 2016)

Assuring Assured Retaliation: China’s Nuclear Strategy and U.S.-China Strategic Stability,” International Security Vol. 40, No. 2 (Fall 2015) (with Fiona S. Cunningham)

The PLA and National Security Decisionmaking: Insights from China’s Territorial and Maritime Disputes,” in Philip Saunders and Andrew Scobell, eds., The PLA’s Role in National Security Policy-Making (Palo Alto: Stanford University Press 2015)

China’s New Military Strategy: ‘Winning Informationized Local Wars,” China Brief Vol. 15, No. 13 (June 23, 2015)

Projecting Strategy: The Myth of Chinese Counter-Intervention,” The Washington Quarterly Vol. 37, No. 4 (Winter 2015) (with Christopher P. Twomey)

Things Fall Apart: Maritime Disputes and China’s Regional Diplomacy,” in Jacques deLisle and Avery Goldstein, eds., China’s Challenges: The Road Ahead (Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 2015)

Territorial and Maritime Boundary Disputes in Asia,” in Saadia Pekkanen, Rosemary Foot, and John Ravenhill, The Oxford Handbook of the International Relations of Asia (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2014)

“The Challenge of Maritime Disputes,” in China Association for Military Science, ed., Asia-Pacific Security: New Issues and New Ideas (Beijing: Junshi kexue chubanshe, 2014)

Growing Competition in the South China Sea,” in Michael McDevitt, ed., The Long Littoral Project: South China Sea (Washington, DC: Center for Naval Analysis, March 2013)

Maritime Security in the South China Sea and the Competition over Maritime Rights,” in Patrick Cronin and William Rogers, eds., Cooperation from Strength: The United States, China and the South China Sea (Center for New American Security: Washington, DC, 2012)

China’s Strategy in the South China Sea,” Contemporary Southeast Asia, Vol. 33, No. 3 (December 2011)

Economic Growth, Regime Insecurity, and Military Strategy: Explaining the Rise of Non-Combat Operations in China,” Asian Security, Vol. 7, No. 2 (Fall 2011)

Beyond the Moat: The PLAN’s Evolving Interests and Potential Influence,” in Phillip Saunders et al., eds., The Chinese Navy: Expanding Capabilities, Evolving Roles (National Defense University Press, 2011) (with Alex Liebman)

China Views India’s Rise: Deepening Cooperation, Managing Differences,” in Ashley Tellis, Travis Tanner, and Jessica Keough ed., Strategic Asia 2011–12: Asia Responds to Its Rising Powers—China and India (Seattle: National Bureau of Asian Research, 2011) [email me for an off-print]

China’s Assertive Behavior – Part Two: The Maritime Periphery,” China Leadership Monitor, No. 35 (Summer 2011) (with Michael D. Swaine).

International Relations Theory and China’s Rise: Assessing China’s Potential for Territorial Expansion,” International Studies Review, Vol. 12, No. 4 (December 2010)

China’s Search for Assured Retaliation: Explaining the Evolution of China’s Nuclear Strategy,” International Security, Vol. 35, No 2 (Fall 2010) (with Evan S. Medeiros)

The Limits of Diversion: Rethinking Internal and External Conflict,” Security Studies, Vol. 19, No. 2 (May 2010)

Explaining Stability in the Senkaku (Diaoyu) Dispute,” in Gerald Curtis, Ryosei Kokubun and Wang Jisi, eds., Getting the Triangle Straight: Managing China-Japan-US Relations (Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution Press, 2010)

“Zhongguo junshi jueqi chutan [A Preliminary Analysis of China’s Military Rise], Zhongguo Guoji Zhanlue Pinglun, No. 2, 2009, pp. 292-311

China’s Search for Military Power,” The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 31, No. 3 (Summer 2008)

Power Shifts and Escalation: Explaining China’s Use of Force in Territorial Disputes,” International Security, Vol. 32, No. 3 (Winter 2007/2008)

Securing Borders: China’s Doctrine and Force Structure for Frontier Defense,” Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol. 30, No. 4 (August 2007)

The Structural Sources of China’s Compromises,” International Security, Vol. 31, No. 2 (Fall 2006)

Regime Insecurity and International Cooperation: Explaining China’s Compromises in Territorial Disputes,” International Security, Vol. 30, No. 2 (Fall 2005)

The Evolution of China’s Military Strategy,” in David Finkelstein and James C. Mulvenon, eds., China’s Revolution in Doctrinal Affairs, (Alexandria: Center for Naval Analysis, 2005)

China’s New Diplomacy,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 82, No. 6 (November/December 2003) (with Evan S. Medeiros)

The Revolution in Research Affairs: Online Sources for the Study of the PLA,” in James C. Mulvenon and Andrew N.D. Yang, eds., Poverty of Riches: New Challenges and Opportunities in PLA Research, (Santa Monica: RAND Corp, 2003)

Towards Civilian Supremacy: Civil-Military Relations in Taiwan’s Democratization,” Armed Forces & Society, Vol. 29, No. 1 (Fall 2002)

Online and On China: Research Sources in the Information Age,” The China Quarterly, No. 163 (September 2000)

Red Herring Hegemon: China and the South China Sea,” Current History, Vol. 96, No. 611 (September 1997) (with William J. Dobson)

China and United Nations Peacekeeping Operations, 1990-1995,” Asian Survey, Vol. 36, No. 11 (November 1996)