Articles

China’s Military Strategy for a ‘New Era’: Some Change, More Continuity, and Tantalizing Hints,” Journal of Strategic Studies, earlyview (with Joel Wuthnow)

China Engages the Arctic: A Great Power in a Regime Complex,” Asian Security, earlyview (with Kathryn Lavelle and Liselotte Odgaard)

Stormy Seas: The South China Sea in US-China Relations,” in Avery Goldstein and Jacques de Lisle, eds., After Engagement: Dilemmas in U.S.-China Security Relations (Washington, DC: Brookings, 2021) (with Kacie Miura)

A ‘China in the World’ Paradigm for Scholarship,” Studies in Comparative International Development Vol. 55, No. 1 (March 2021) (with Melanie Manion and Yuhua Wang)

China’s “World-Class” Military Ambitions: Origins and Implications,” The Washington Quarterly Vol. 42, No. 4 (Spring 2020)

Stability in a Secondary Strategic Direction: China and the Border Dispute with India After 1962,” in Kanti Bajpai, Selina Ho and Manjari Chatterjee Miller, eds., Routledge Handbook of China-India Relations (New York: Routledge, 2020)

Dangerous Confidence: Chinese Views of Nuclear Escalation,” International Security Vol. 44, No. 2 (Fall 2019) (with Fiona S. Cunningham)

Shifts in Warfare and Party Unity: Explaining Changes in China’s Military Strategy,” International Security Vol. 42, No. 3 (Winter 2017/2018)

Threading the Needle: The South China Sea Disputes and U.S.-China Relations,” in Robert Ross and Øystein Tsunjo, eds., Strategic Adjustment and the Rise of China: Power and Politics in East Asia (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2017)

Qualitative Investigation of Theoretical Models: The Value of Process Tracing,” Journal of Theoretical Politics (2017) Vol. 29, No. 3 (with Peter Lorentzen and Jack Paine)

Explaining China’s Escalation over the Senkaku (Diaoyu) Islands,” Global Summitry Vol. 2, No. 1 (2016)

China’s Changing Approach to Military Strategy: The Science of Military Strategy from 2001 to 2013,” in Joe McReynolds, ed., China’s Evolving Military Strategy (Washington, DC: Brookings Press, 2016)

Assuring Assured Retaliation: China’s Nuclear Strategy and U.S.-China Strategic Stability,” International Security Vol. 40, No. 2 (Fall 2015) (with Fiona S. Cunningham)

The PLA and National Security Decisionmaking: Insights from China’s Territorial and Maritime Disputes,” in Philip Saunders and Andrew Scobell, eds., The PLA’s Role in National Security Policy-Making (Palo Alto: Stanford University Press 2015)

China’s New Military Strategy: ‘Winning Informationized Local Wars,” China Brief Vol. 15, No. 13 (June 23, 2015)

Projecting Strategy: The Myth of Chinese Counter-Intervention,” The Washington Quarterly Vol. 37, No. 4 (Winter 2015) (with Christopher P. Twomey)

Things Fall Apart: Maritime Disputes and China’s Regional Diplomacy,” in Jacques deLisle and Avery Goldstein, eds., China’s Challenges: The Road Ahead (Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 2015)

Territorial and Maritime Boundary Disputes in Asia,” in Saadia Pekkanen, Rosemary Foot, and John Ravenhill, The Oxford Handbook of the International Relations of Asia (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2014)

“The Challenge of Maritime Disputes,” in China Association for Military Science, ed., Asia-Pacific Security: New Issues and New Ideas (Beijing: Junshi kexue chubanshe, 2014)

Growing Competition in the South China Sea,” in Michael McDevitt, ed., The Long Littoral Project: South China Sea (Washington, DC: Center for Naval Analysis, March 2013)

Maritime Security in the South China Sea and the Competition over Maritime Rights,” in Patrick Cronin and William Rogers, eds., Cooperation from Strength: The United States, China and the South China Sea (Center for New American Security: Washington, DC, 2012)

China’s Strategy in the South China Sea,” Contemporary Southeast Asia, Vol. 33, No. 3 (December 2011)

Economic Growth, Regime Insecurity, and Military Strategy: Explaining the Rise of Non-Combat Operations in China,” Asian Security, Vol. 7, No. 2 (Fall 2011)

Beyond the Moat: The PLAN’s Evolving Interests and Potential Influence,” in Phillip Saunders et al., eds., The Chinese Navy: Expanding Capabilities, Evolving Roles (National Defense University Press, 2011) (with Alex Liebman)

China Views India’s Rise: Deepening Cooperation, Managing Differences,” in Ashley Tellis, Travis Tanner, and Jessica Keough ed., Strategic Asia 2011–12: Asia Responds to Its Rising Powers—China and India (Seattle: National Bureau of Asian Research, 2011) [email me for an off-print]

China’s Assertive Behavior – Part Two: The Maritime Periphery,” China Leadership Monitor, No. 35 (Summer 2011) (with Michael D. Swaine).

International Relations Theory and China’s Rise: Assessing China’s Potential for Territorial Expansion,” International Studies Review, Vol. 12, No. 4 (December 2010)

China’s Search for Assured Retaliation: Explaining the Evolution of China’s Nuclear Strategy,” International Security, Vol. 35, No 2 (Fall 2010) (with Evan S. Medeiros)

The Limits of Diversion: Rethinking Internal and External Conflict,” Security Studies, Vol. 19, No. 2 (May 2010)

Explaining Stability in the Senkaku (Diaoyu) Dispute,” in Gerald Curtis, Ryosei Kokubun and Wang Jisi, eds., Getting the Triangle Straight: Managing China-Japan-US Relations (Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution Press, 2010)

“Zhongguo junshi jueqi chutan [A Preliminary Analysis of China’s Military Rise], Zhongguo Guoji Zhanlue Pinglun, No. 2, 2009, pp. 292-311

China’s Search for Military Power,” The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 31, No. 3 (Summer 2008)

Power Shifts and Escalation: Explaining China’s Use of Force in Territorial Disputes,” International Security, Vol. 32, No. 3 (Winter 2007/2008)

Securing Borders: China’s Doctrine and Force Structure for Frontier Defense,” Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol. 30, No. 4 (August 2007)

The Structural Sources of China’s Compromises,” International Security, Vol. 31, No. 2 (Fall 2006)

Regime Insecurity and International Cooperation: Explaining China’s Compromises in Territorial Disputes,” International Security, Vol. 30, No. 2 (Fall 2005)

The Evolution of China’s Military Strategy,” in David Finkelstein and James C. Mulvenon, eds., China’s Revolution in Doctrinal Affairs, (Alexandria: Center for Naval Analysis, 2005)

China’s New Diplomacy,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 82, No. 6 (November/December 2003) (with Evan S. Medeiros)

The Revolution in Research Affairs: Online Sources for the Study of the PLA,” in James C. Mulvenon and Andrew N.D. Yang, eds., Poverty of Riches: New Challenges and Opportunities in PLA Research, (Santa Monica: RAND Corp, 2003)

Towards Civilian Supremacy: Civil-Military Relations in Taiwan’s Democratization,” Armed Forces & Society, Vol. 29, No. 1 (Fall 2002)

Online and On China: Research Sources in the Information Age,” The China Quarterly, No. 163 (September 2000)

Red Herring Hegemon: China and the South China Sea,” Current History, Vol. 96, No. 611 (September 1997) (with William J. Dobson)

China and United Nations Peacekeeping Operations, 1990-1995,” Asian Survey, Vol. 36, No. 11 (November 1996)